The El Niño–Southern Oscillation and daily temperature extremes in east Asia and the west Pacific
Identifieur interne : 002120 ( Istex/Curation ); précédent : 002119; suivant : 002121The El Niño–Southern Oscillation and daily temperature extremes in east Asia and the west Pacific
Auteurs : N. Nicholls [Australie] ; H. Baek [Corée du Sud] ; A. Gosai [Nouvelle-Zélande] ; L. E. Chambers [Australie] ; Y. Choi [Corée du Sud] ; D. Collins [Australie] ; P. M. Della-Marta [Suisse] ; G. M. Griffiths [Nouvelle-Zélande] ; M. R. Haylock [Royaume-Uni] ; N. Iga [Papouasie-Nouvelle-Guinée] ; R. Lata [Fidji] ; L. Maitrepierre ; M. J. Manton [Australie] ; H. Nakamigawa [Japon] ; N. Ouprasitwong [Thaïlande] ; D. Solofa [Samoa] ; L. Tahani ; D. T. Thuy [Viêt Nam] ; L. Tibig [Philippines] ; B. Trewin [Australie] ; K. Vediapan [Malaisie] ; P. Zhai [République populaire de Chine]Source :
- Geophysical Research Letters [ 0094-8276 ] ; 2005-08.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Annual numbers, Annual values, Atmospheric research, Calendar year, Climate extremes, Climate research centre, Climatic research unit, Cold nights, Cool days, Daily data, Daily temperature extremes, Data rescue, Detrended, Detrended data, Detrended number, East anglia, East asia, East asia west, Extreme indices, Extreme temperatures, Extremes indices, Full lines, Global change research, Konkuk university, Manton, Maximum temperature, Meteorological department, Meteorological division, Meteorological research institute, Meteorology research centre, Meteorology research group, Minimum temperature, Monthly values, National institute, Nino, Nino episode, Nino event, Oscillation, Percentile, Petaling jaya, Port moresby, Previous year, Quality control, Quezon city, Solomon islands, Southern oscillation, Strong trend, Stronger correlations, Strongest correlations, Surface temperatures, Temperature data, Temperature extremes, Temperature indices, Thin lines, Time series, Warm nights, Weather service.
- Teeft :
- Annual numbers, Annual values, Atmospheric research, Calendar year, Climate extremes, Climate research centre, Climatic research unit, Cold nights, Cool days, Daily data, Daily temperature extremes, Data rescue, Detrended, Detrended data, Detrended number, East anglia, East asia, East asia west, Extreme indices, Extreme temperatures, Extremes indices, Full lines, Global change research, Konkuk university, Manton, Maximum temperature, Meteorological department, Meteorological division, Meteorological research institute, Meteorology research centre, Meteorology research group, Minimum temperature, Monthly values, National institute, Nino, Nino episode, Nino event, Oscillation, Percentile, Petaling jaya, Port moresby, Previous year, Quality control, Quezon city, Solomon islands, Southern oscillation, Strong trend, Stronger correlations, Strongest correlations, Surface temperatures, Temperature data, Temperature extremes, Temperature indices, Thin lines, Time series, Warm nights, Weather service.
Abstract
The numbers of warm nights and hot days, across most of the east Asia – west Pacific region, increase substantially in the year after the onset of an El Niño event. The number of cool days and cold nights tend to decrease, although the relationship with El Niño is weaker for these variables. The relationship is confounded, for warm nights and hot days, by a strong increasing trend in the numbers of extremes not matched by a trend in the El Niño. Removal of this trend leads to even stronger correlations with the El Niño. Strong correlations exist between some of the extremes indices and an index of the El Niño – Southern Oscillation in months prior to the occurrence of the extremes, indicating that predictions of the frequency of extreme temperatures across the region should be feasible.
Url:
DOI: 10.1029/2005GL022621
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L. Maitrepierre<affiliation><mods:affiliation>Météo‐France, Noumea, New Caledonia</mods:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">Caledonia</wicri:noCountry></affiliation><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Solomon Islands Meteorological Service, Honiara, Soloman Islands</mods:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">Islands</wicri:noCountry></affiliation>Le document en format XML
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Tibig</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>PAGASA, Quezon City, Philippines</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Philippines</country><wicri:regionArea>PAGASA, Quezon City</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Trewin, B" sort="Trewin, B" uniqKey="Trewin B" first="B." last="Trewin">B. Trewin</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Vediapan, K" sort="Vediapan, K" uniqKey="Vediapan K" first="K." last="Vediapan">K. Vediapan</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Malaysian Meteorological Service, Petaling Jaya, Malaysia</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Malaisie</country><wicri:regionArea>Malaysian Meteorological Service, Petaling Jaya</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zhai, P" sort="Zhai, P" uniqKey="Zhai P" first="P." last="Zhai">P. Zhai</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>NCC/CMA, Beijing, China</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>NCC/CMA, Beijing</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></titleStmt><publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">ISTEX</idno><idno type="RBID">ISTEX:AE9152E2403CEAA24BC837B7D1265752ABF25912</idno><date when="2005" year="2005">2005</date><idno type="doi">10.1029/2005GL022621</idno><idno type="url">https://api.istex.fr/document/AE9152E2403CEAA24BC837B7D1265752ABF25912/fulltext/pdf</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Istex/Corpus">002120</idno><idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Istex" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="ISTEX">002120</idno><idno type="wicri:Area/Istex/Curation">002120</idno></publicationStmt><sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title level="a" type="main">The El Niño–Southern Oscillation and daily temperature extremes in east Asia and the west Pacific</title><author><name sortKey="Nicholls, N" sort="Nicholls, N" uniqKey="Nicholls N" first="N." last="Nicholls">N. Nicholls</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>E-mail: n.nicholls@bom.gov.au</mods:affiliation><country wicri:rule="url">Australie</country></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria</wicri:regionArea></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>E-mail: n.nicholls@bom.gov.au</mods:affiliation><country wicri:rule="url">Australie</country></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Baek, H" sort="Baek, H" uniqKey="Baek H" first="H." last="Baek">H. Baek</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Meteorological Research Institute, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, Korea</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country><wicri:regionArea>Meteorological Research Institute, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Gosai, A" sort="Gosai, A" uniqKey="Gosai A" first="A." last="Gosai">A. Gosai</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Auckland, New Zealand</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Nouvelle-Zélande</country><wicri:regionArea>National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Auckland</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Chambers, L E" sort="Chambers, L E" uniqKey="Chambers L" first="L. E." last="Chambers">L. E. Chambers</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Choi, Y" sort="Choi, Y" uniqKey="Choi Y" first="Y." last="Choi">Y. Choi</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Department of Geography, Konkuk University, Seoul, Korea</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Corée du Sud</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Geography, Konkuk University, Seoul</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Collins, D" sort="Collins, D" uniqKey="Collins D" first="D." last="Collins">D. Collins</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Della Arta, P M" sort="Della Arta, P M" uniqKey="Della Arta P" first="P. M." last="Della-Marta">P. M. Della-Marta</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Climatology and Meteorology Research Group, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country><wicri:regionArea>Climatology and Meteorology Research Group, University of Bern, Bern</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Griffiths, G M" sort="Griffiths, G M" uniqKey="Griffiths G" first="G. M." last="Griffiths">G. M. Griffiths</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Auckland, New Zealand</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Nouvelle-Zélande</country><wicri:regionArea>National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Auckland</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Haylock, M R" sort="Haylock, M R" uniqKey="Haylock M" first="M. R." last="Haylock">M. R. Haylock</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Iga, N" sort="Iga, N" uniqKey="Iga N" first="N." last="Iga">N. Iga</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Papua New Guinea National Weather Service, Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Papouasie-Nouvelle-Guinée</country><wicri:regionArea>Papua New Guinea National Weather Service, Port Moresby</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lata, R" sort="Lata, R" uniqKey="Lata R" first="R." last="Lata">R. Lata</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Fiji Meteorological Service, Nadi, Fiji</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Fidji</country><wicri:regionArea>Fiji Meteorological Service, Nadi</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Maitrepierre, L" sort="Maitrepierre, L" uniqKey="Maitrepierre L" first="L." last="Maitrepierre">L. Maitrepierre</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Météo‐France, Noumea, New Caledonia</mods:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">Caledonia</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Manton, M J" sort="Manton, M J" uniqKey="Manton M" first="M. J." last="Manton">M. J. Manton</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Nakamigawa, H" sort="Nakamigawa, H" uniqKey="Nakamigawa H" first="H." last="Nakamigawa">H. Nakamigawa</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Japon</country><wicri:regionArea>Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Ouprasitwong, N" sort="Ouprasitwong, N" uniqKey="Ouprasitwong N" first="N." last="Ouprasitwong">N. Ouprasitwong</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Meteorological Department, Bangkok, Thailand</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Thaïlande</country><wicri:regionArea>Meteorological Department, Bangkok</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Solofa, D" sort="Solofa, D" uniqKey="Solofa D" first="D." last="Solofa">D. Solofa</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Meteorological Division, Apia, Samoa</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Samoa</country><wicri:regionArea>Meteorological Division, Apia</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tahani, L" sort="Tahani, L" uniqKey="Tahani L" first="L." last="Tahani">L. Tahani</name><affiliation><mods:affiliation>Solomon Islands Meteorological Service, Honiara, Soloman Islands</mods:affiliation><wicri:noCountry code="subField">Islands</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Thuy, D T" sort="Thuy, D T" uniqKey="Thuy D" first="D. T." last="Thuy">D. T. Thuy</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Climate Research Centre, Hanoi, Vietnam</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Viêt Nam</country><wicri:regionArea>Climate Research Centre, Hanoi</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Tibig, L" sort="Tibig, L" uniqKey="Tibig L" first="L." last="Tibig">L. Tibig</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>PAGASA, Quezon City, Philippines</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Philippines</country><wicri:regionArea>PAGASA, Quezon City</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Trewin, B" sort="Trewin, B" uniqKey="Trewin B" first="B." last="Trewin">B. Trewin</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Bureau of Meteorology Research Center, Melbourne, Victoria</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Vediapan, K" sort="Vediapan, K" uniqKey="Vediapan K" first="K." last="Vediapan">K. Vediapan</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>Malaysian Meteorological Service, Petaling Jaya, Malaysia</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Malaisie</country><wicri:regionArea>Malaysian Meteorological Service, Petaling Jaya</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Zhai, P" sort="Zhai, P" uniqKey="Zhai P" first="P." last="Zhai">P. Zhai</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><mods:affiliation>NCC/CMA, Beijing, China</mods:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>NCC/CMA, Beijing</wicri:regionArea></affiliation></author></analytic><monogr></monogr><series><title level="j" type="main">Geophysical Research Letters</title><title level="j" type="alt">GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS</title><idno type="ISSN">0094-8276</idno><idno type="eISSN">1944-8007</idno><imprint><biblScope unit="vol">32</biblScope><biblScope unit="issue">16</biblScope><biblScope unit="page-count">4</biblScope><date type="published" when="2005-08">2005-08</date></imprint><idno type="ISSN">0094-8276</idno></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc><seriesStmt><idno type="ISSN">0094-8276</idno></seriesStmt></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Annual numbers</term><term>Annual values</term><term>Atmospheric research</term><term>Calendar year</term><term>Climate extremes</term><term>Climate research centre</term><term>Climatic research unit</term><term>Cold nights</term><term>Cool days</term><term>Daily data</term><term>Daily temperature extremes</term><term>Data rescue</term><term>Detrended</term><term>Detrended data</term><term>Detrended number</term><term>East anglia</term><term>East asia</term><term>East asia west</term><term>Extreme indices</term><term>Extreme temperatures</term><term>Extremes indices</term><term>Full lines</term><term>Global change research</term><term>Konkuk university</term><term>Manton</term><term>Maximum temperature</term><term>Meteorological department</term><term>Meteorological division</term><term>Meteorological research institute</term><term>Meteorology research centre</term><term>Meteorology research group</term><term>Minimum temperature</term><term>Monthly values</term><term>National institute</term><term>Nino</term><term>Nino episode</term><term>Nino event</term><term>Oscillation</term><term>Percentile</term><term>Petaling jaya</term><term>Port moresby</term><term>Previous year</term><term>Quality control</term><term>Quezon city</term><term>Solomon islands</term><term>Southern oscillation</term><term>Strong trend</term><term>Stronger correlations</term><term>Strongest correlations</term><term>Surface temperatures</term><term>Temperature data</term><term>Temperature extremes</term><term>Temperature indices</term><term>Thin lines</term><term>Time series</term><term>Warm nights</term><term>Weather service</term></keywords><keywords scheme="Teeft" xml:lang="en"><term>Annual numbers</term><term>Annual values</term><term>Atmospheric research</term><term>Calendar year</term><term>Climate extremes</term><term>Climate research centre</term><term>Climatic research unit</term><term>Cold nights</term><term>Cool days</term><term>Daily data</term><term>Daily temperature extremes</term><term>Data rescue</term><term>Detrended</term><term>Detrended data</term><term>Detrended number</term><term>East anglia</term><term>East asia</term><term>East asia west</term><term>Extreme indices</term><term>Extreme temperatures</term><term>Extremes indices</term><term>Full lines</term><term>Global change research</term><term>Konkuk university</term><term>Manton</term><term>Maximum temperature</term><term>Meteorological department</term><term>Meteorological division</term><term>Meteorological research institute</term><term>Meteorology research centre</term><term>Meteorology research group</term><term>Minimum temperature</term><term>Monthly values</term><term>National institute</term><term>Nino</term><term>Nino episode</term><term>Nino event</term><term>Oscillation</term><term>Percentile</term><term>Petaling jaya</term><term>Port moresby</term><term>Previous year</term><term>Quality control</term><term>Quezon city</term><term>Solomon islands</term><term>Southern oscillation</term><term>Strong trend</term><term>Stronger correlations</term><term>Strongest correlations</term><term>Surface temperatures</term><term>Temperature data</term><term>Temperature extremes</term><term>Temperature indices</term><term>Thin lines</term><term>Time series</term><term>Warm nights</term><term>Weather service</term></keywords></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract">The numbers of warm nights and hot days, across most of the east Asia – west Pacific region, increase substantially in the year after the onset of an El Niño event. The number of cool days and cold nights tend to decrease, although the relationship with El Niño is weaker for these variables. The relationship is confounded, for warm nights and hot days, by a strong increasing trend in the numbers of extremes not matched by a trend in the El Niño. Removal of this trend leads to even stronger correlations with the El Niño. Strong correlations exist between some of the extremes indices and an index of the El Niño – Southern Oscillation in months prior to the occurrence of the extremes, indicating that predictions of the frequency of extreme temperatures across the region should be feasible.</div></front></TEI></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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